Welcome to our first ever NCAA D3 Women’s Production Model. We’ve generated models for PWHL Draft Eligible NCAA, the PWHL, and Men’s D3 (2025). The concept is drawn from the genius of Calgary-based analytics legend, Byron Bader, and his incredible Hockeyprospecting models. This production model has captured the scoring efficiency of over 1,500 D3 players (10gp minimum), split between forwards and defenders, and assigned them ratings of Superstar, Star, *Fringe Star, Average, and Replacement based on how their scoring efficiency (points-per-game) weighs against the national average. The goal is to create a qualitative assessment of scoring efficiency beyond just a number. For example, if you said to someone: “Keira Reckley recorded 0.85 PPG this season,” the response would be, “Is that good?” Where if you said “Keira Reckley is Superstar-level producer,” that person would know that she’s one of the best players in the country.  In most instances, Superstar and Star level producers are in the 80th percentile or better across all leagues in which we generate these models.

*Fringe Star is used when a player falls within 0.005 PPG of the star threshold

At this time, SOS and conference difficulty are not factored into the distribution. If a player who recorded more than 10 games played is not included in the table, we were unable to verify accuracy of their statistics between multiple stat aggregate sites. For anyone who’s looked at our previous work, you’ll notice the “1 -” added to the ratings. This is to resolve the clunkiness of low-to-high sorting against the old A-to-Z option.