Welcome to our third annual NCAA D3 Men’s Production Model (Last Season’s Model). We’ve generated models for PWHL Draft Eligible NCAA, the PWHL, and Women’s D3 (2026). The concept is drawn from the genius of Calgary-based analytics legend, Byron Bader, and his incredible Hockeyprospecting models. This production model has captured the scoring efficiency of over 1,500 D3 players (10gp minimum), split between forwards and defenders, and assigned them ratings of Superstar, Star, *Fringe Star, Average, and Replacement based on how their scoring efficiency (points-per-game) weighs against the national average. The goal is to create a qualitative assessment of scoring efficiency beyond just a number. Simply, this model provides context for how players across the nation compare to each other to better index offensive performance on an individual basis.

*Fringe Star is used when a player falls within 0.005 PPG of the star threshold

At this time, SOS and conference difficulty are not factored into the distribution. If a player who recorded more than 10 games played is not included in the table, we were unable to verify accuracy of their statistics between multiple stat aggregate sites. For anyone who’s looked at our previous work, you’ll notice the “1 -” added to the ratings. This is to resolve the clunkiness of low-to-high sorting against the old A-to-Z option.